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In the wake of the ceasefire deal announced by the leaders of Qatar and the United States, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu seems to have made a political misstep, putting himself in a difficult position. The agreement, which was celebrated as a potential step toward peace, still requires approval from Israel’s cabinet. However, the meeting to finalize this approval has not yet been scheduled, and Netanyahu may be facing a lack of support from within his own government.

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The prime minister now faces a tough decision: he could either give in to the extreme right-wing demands to resume war after the 42-day ceasefire or turn to the political opposition for support, which would give them significant influence over his future. His ultranationalist coalition partner, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, has placed a condition on his support—Netanyahu must agree to restart the war once the first phase of the ceasefire ends.

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If Netanyahu agrees to this, the deal could collapse even before it takes full effect, potentially angering US officials who have been championing the deal. If he refuses, Smotrich’s party threatens to withdraw, which could destabilize Netanyahu’s fragile majority in the Knesset.

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The situation leaves Netanyahu with limited options, and opposition leader Yair Lapid has offered a temporary lifeline, promising to support Netanyahu in the legislature for a set period. However, this gives Lapid leverage and could lead to a government collapse at any time, which further complicates Netanyahu’s position.

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The ongoing ceasefire also offers a glimmer of hope for regional de-escalation, with experts suggesting that Iran could seize the moment to reconsider its aggressive stance in the region. However, many factors still hang in the balance, and the ultimate outcome remains uncertain. While the ceasefire holds the potential for wider peace, there are still risks that it could prove to be a temporary pause rather than the end of the conflict.

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